Crude Oil and US dollar - Scenario |
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10-03-2008 |
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Oil prices, hit a new record high today at $108, a new inflation-adjusted record
and fifth new high in the last six sessions on an upbeat report
on wholesale inventories.
Analysts believe speculative investing attracted by the weak
dollar is the primary reason oil has risen in recent
months. Crude futures offer a hedge against a falling dollar, and oil
futures bought and sold in dollars are more attractive to foreign
investors when the dollar is falling.
The dollar fluctuated against the euro on Monday, many investors
believe the greenback is likely to keep falling as the Fed continues to
cut rates. Many analysts believe the rise in crude prices is not
supported by the market's underlying fundamentals, noting that supplies
are generally rising while demand is falling.
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